Plurality Believe What Is Happening In Gaza Amounts to Genocide
Sympathies for Israel over Palestine in the Middle East conflict fell to a historic low among registered voters in November. A new national survey conducted by BIG DATA POLL finds just under 3 in 10 (29.1%) say they side with the Israelis versus just over 2 in 10 (21.4%) who now side with the Palestinians. In a clear indication of growing weariness over the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, the largest share of voters at 29.9% now say they sympathize with “Neither”.
Worth noting, sympathies for Israel over Palestine have trended toward more divided opinions for years. A noteworthy exception to this trend was measured after the attacks carried out by the Islamic Fundamentalist Terrorist Group Hamas on October 7, 2023. The percentage of registered voters who sympathized with Israel rose sharply to 54%.
The shift in views on this issue among Republicans has been stark and no longer amounts to overall majority sympathy for Israel. The percentage of Republicans who say they have sympathy for “Neither” shot up to 1 in 4 (25.4%). Not a single Democratic voting age group holds majority sympathy towards Israel.
“The only notable demographic that remains majority sympathetic to Israel is the Republican voter above 50 years old,” BIG DATA POLL Director Rich Baris, said in a statement. “Even among this subgroup, only those 65 years and older continued to report levels of sympathy roughly as high as they have in the past.”
“The Republican Party is identifying more and more with America First, a trend also driven by younger voters who consume news in different ways, and they do not support what they have seen in Gaza.”
When asked, a plurality of registered voters (38.4%) believe “what Israel has done in Gaza amounts to genocide”. Less than 3 in 10 (29.0%) say it does not and roughly one-third (32.6%) are unsure. Republican voters ages 18-29 agree 43.5% to 36.2%, a margin that widens significantly among the same age group that self-identifies as America First Republicans, 52.9% to 29.2%.
This month, 50.6% of voters still said the Trump Administration is “too focused on foreign affairs” and “not enough on domestic issues”, down only slightly from 51.9% in late October. Roughly 3 in 10 (29.2%) also said the administration’s “focus has been balanced and is just about right”, largely unchanged from 30.0% flat.
Methodology
BIG DATA POLL interviewed 2,005 registered voters from November 20 – 21, 2025. Interviews conducted online are data appended and sourced through Lucid (CINT) and live-agent phone interviews including P2P SMS and text-to-online are sourced from the Aristotle National Voter File Database and/or L2 Voter File Database. Participants who opted for text-to-online were given 24 hours to complete the interview. Interview details plotted on maps can be reviewed by hovering and clicking on the locator pins. Results were weighted for sex, age, race and ethnicity, education, and geography. The overall sampling error is ±2.1% at a 95% confidence level. It is important to note that sampling errors for subgroups are higher. All BIG DATA POLL publicly conducted surveys are crowdfunded via the Public Polling Project, supplemented if necessary by BIG DATA POLL and are NOT funded by or affiliated with any candidate, campaign, committee, or political entity. Full and interactive crosstabs can be viewed on MarketSight.
