The Kentucky House District 4 Republican Primary Tracking Poll will run from May 10 to May 18, 2026. The survey was conducted by BIG DATA POLL as part of the Public Polling Project and will update until Election Day.
Rep. Massie is leading with a more broad coalition of voting age cohorts—Generation Z, Millennials and Generation X—while Mr. Gallrein leads with a more narrow coalition, but also more reliable cohorts, Boomers/Silent Gen (62.0% to 38.0%).
The incumbent Republican is being challenged by President Donald J. Trump and allies in The American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) and pro-Israel lobby has backed Mr. Gallrein now to the tune of nearly $12 million, or $11,824,741.
- Republican Primary Poll for Kentucky House District 4 (April Crosstabs)
- Friday, May 15 Crosstabs
- Saturday, May 16 Crosstabs
Methodology
BIG DATA POLL will interview no less than 500 Registered Republican likely primary voters in Kentucky House District 4 from May 10 to May 18, 2026 for the Public Polling Project. Interviews conducted online (≈10%) are sourced through Lucid (CINT) and live-agent phone interviews including P2P SMS and text-to-online are sourced from either the L2 National Voter File Database. Participants who opted for text-to-online were given 24 hours to complete the interview. Interview details plotted on maps can be reviewed by hovering and clicking on the locator pins. Results were weighted for sex, age, race, education, region and geography. The overall sampling error is ±4.0% at a 95% confidence level. It is important to note that sampling errors for subgroups are higher. All BIG DATA POLL publicly conducted surveys are crowdfunded via the Public Polling Project, supplemented if necessary by BIG DATA POLL and are NOT funded by or affiliated with any candidate, campaign, committee, or political entity. Full and interactive crosstabs for Friday, May 15, 2026 can be viewed on MarketSight.
