17May 2018

Generic Ballot Lead for Democrats Shrinks to Within the Margin

Democrats now hold a slim 3-point lead on the PPD Generic Ballot after enjoying an edge upwards of 13 points for most of the year. If the election in their congressional district was held today, 49% of voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate, while 46% would back the Republican candidate.

Five percent (5%) are undecided a just 1% said they would vote for some other candidate.

“Democrats have been able to pull off some special election upsets in Republican and Republican-leaning congressional districts. But they didn’t do that by changing many minds. Republicans weren’t showing up to vote,” Richard Baris, the Director of the Big Data Poll and PPD Election Projection Model said. “We saw that in our polling at the time and we’re seeing that change now.”

[Questionnaire | Full Results | AAPOR Transparency Initiative Checklist]

The mixed-mode survey of 1,067 likely voters nationwide was conducted from May 11 -12 & 14, 2018 by Big Data Poll for People’s Pundit Daily. The margin of sampling error = +/- 3% with a 95% Confidence Level.

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